Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density Models

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2018-11-01
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Dong, Jing
Huang, Tingting
Knickerbocker, Skylar
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Sharma, Anuj
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Dong-O'Brien, Jing
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Institute for Transportation
InTrans administers 14 centers and programs, and several other distinct research specialties, and a variety of technology transfer and professional education initiatives. More than 100 Iowa State University faculty and staff work at InTrans, and from 200 to 250 student assistants from several ISU departments conduct research while working closely with university faculty. InTrans began in 1983 as a technical assistance program for Iowa’s rural transportation agencies.
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Civil, Construction and Environmental EngineeringInstitute for Transportation
Abstract

Speed-volume-density relationship and capacity are key elements in modelling traffic operations, designing roadways, and evaluating facility performance. This paper uses a modified five-parameter logistic model to describe the speed-density relationship. The calibrated speed-density models show that the stop-and-go speed (V-b ) and shape parameters (theta(1) and theta(2) ) are similar for work zones and the nonwork zone site. Accordingly, an operational capacity prediction method is proposed. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, the predicted operational capacities are compared with the field data, Highway Capacity Manual method, the output of WorkZoneQ software, and the ensemble tree approach under different work zone scenarios. Furthermore, a lifetime distribution prediction framework for stochastic capacity of work zones is proposed. The predicted lifetime distribution can well capture the tendency of the observed work zone capacities.

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This article is published as Lu, Chaoru, Jing Dong, Anuj Sharma, Tingting Huang, and Skylar Knickerbocker. "Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density Models." Journal of Advanced Transportation 2018 (2018): 9614501. DOI: 10.1155/2018/9614501. Posted with permission.

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Mon Jan 01 00:00:00 UTC 2018
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