Start Date

28-2-2009 12:00 AM

Description

Forecasting beef and cattle markets by definition deals with the unknown, but conditions at the start of 2009 are more uncertain than usual. Typically, economists assume that demand is relatively stable from year to year and supply is the primary source of forecast error. However, as we have seen in recent months, both supply and demand are in play and many of the historic relationships used in predicting the future may not hold water in volatile markets. Following a lengthy discussion about the factors that impact the cattle market and how they have changed, we will provide our outlook for prices in 2009 and beyond and strategies for managers in uncertain times.

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Feb 28th, 12:00 AM

Beef Outlook in Uncertain Times

Forecasting beef and cattle markets by definition deals with the unknown, but conditions at the start of 2009 are more uncertain than usual. Typically, economists assume that demand is relatively stable from year to year and supply is the primary source of forecast error. However, as we have seen in recent months, both supply and demand are in play and many of the historic relationships used in predicting the future may not hold water in volatile markets. Following a lengthy discussion about the factors that impact the cattle market and how they have changed, we will provide our outlook for prices in 2009 and beyond and strategies for managers in uncertain times.