Upper Mississippi River Basin Modeling System Part 4: Climate Change Impacts on Flow and Water Quality

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2006-01-01
Authors
Takle, Eugene
Anderson, Chris
Jha, Manoj
Gassman, Philip
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Takle, Eugene
Distinguished Professor Emeritus
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Aerospace Engineering

The Department of Aerospace Engineering seeks to instruct the design, analysis, testing, and operation of vehicles which operate in air, water, or space, including studies of aerodynamics, structure mechanics, propulsion, and the like.

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The Department of Aerospace Engineering was organized as the Department of Aeronautical Engineering in 1942. Its name was changed to the Department of Aerospace Engineering in 1961. In 1990, the department absorbed the Department of Engineering Science and Mechanics and became the Department of Aerospace Engineering and Engineering Mechanics. In 2003 the name was changed back to the Department of Aerospace Engineering.

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1942-present

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  • Department of Aerospace Engineering and Engineering Mechanics (1990-2003)

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Ames National Laboratory

Ames National Laboratory is a government-owned, contractor-operated national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), operated by and located on the campus of Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa.

For more than 70 years, the Ames National Laboratory has successfully partnered with Iowa State University, and is unique among the 17 DOE laboratories in that it is physically located on the campus of a major research university. Many of the scientists and administrators at the Laboratory also hold faculty positions at the University and the Laboratory has access to both undergraduate and graduate student talent.

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Agronomy

The Department of Agronomy seeks to teach the study of the farm-field, its crops, and its science and management. It originally consisted of three sub-departments to do this: Soils, Farm-Crops, and Agricultural Engineering (which became its own department in 1907). Today, the department teaches crop sciences and breeding, soil sciences, meteorology, agroecology, and biotechnology.

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The Department of Agronomy was formed in 1902. From 1917 to 1935 it was known as the Department of Farm Crops and Soils.

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1902–present

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  • Department of Farm Crops and Soils (1917–1935)

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Aerospace EngineeringAmes National LaboratoryEconomicsCenter for Agricultural and Rural DevelopmentAgronomyGeological and Atmospheric Sciences
Abstract

Output from an ensemble of seven global climate models for contemporary and future scenario climates was used to drive the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to examine components of the hydrologic budget for the Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB). Results showed only modest increases in precipitation (+6%) and streamflow (+3%) but substantial reduction in snowfall (-37%) for the UMRB for the end of the 21st century. The low-resolution of global models contribute to the biases in some but not all hydrologic components, most notably evapotranspiration, potential evapotranspiration, and baseflow. Ensemble results indicate an increase in baseflow (+12%) and decrease of runoff (-20%) for the future scenario. Such changes would likely decrease sediment loading of streams, but influences on the fate of fugitive nitrates is indeterminate from this preliminary study. Evaluation of water quality in a future scenario climate carried out with one model (GFDL) suggested that major reductions in snowmelt and surface runoff in a future climate will lead to reductions in all contaminants simulated (sediment, nitrogen, and phosphorus).

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This is a chapter from Takle, Eugene S., Chris Anderson, Manoj Jha, and Philip W. Gassman. "Upper Mississippi River Basin modeling system part 4: climate change impacts on flow and water quality." Coastal Hydrology and Processes. Water Resources Publications, Highland Ranch (2006): 135-142. Posted with permission.

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Sun Jan 01 00:00:00 UTC 2006
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