Campus Units

Civil, Construction and Environmental Engineering

Document Type

Article

Publication Version

Accepted Manuscript

Publication Date

2020

Journal or Book Title

International Journal of Sustainable Transportation

Volume

14

Issue

11

First Page

833

Last Page

842

DOI

10.1080/15568318.2019.1639085

Abstract

Range limitation is a significant obstacle to market acceptance of battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Range anxiety is exacerbated when drivers could not reliably predict the remaining battery range or when their journeys were unexpectedly extended. This paper quantifies the impact of reliable range estimation on BEV feasibility using GPS-tracked travel survey data, collected over an 18-month period (from November 2004 to April 2006) in the Seattle metropolitan area. BEV feasibility is quantified as the number of days when travel adaption is needed if a driver replaces a conventional gasoline vehicle (CGV) with a BEV. The distribution of BEV range is estimated based on the real-world fuel efficiency data. A driver is assumed to choose between using a BEV or a substitute gasoline vehicle, based on the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). BEV is considered feasible for a particular driver if he/she needs to use a substitute vehicle on less than 0.5% of the travel days. By varying the values of some CPT parameter, the percentage of BEV feasible vehicles could change from less than 5% to 25%. The numerical results also show that with a 50% reduction in the standard deviation and 50% increase in the mean of the BEV range distribution BEV feasibility increases from less than 5% of the sampled drivers to 30%.

Research Focus Area

Transportation Engineering

Comments

This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in International Journal of Sustainable Transportation on November 5, 2019; available online at DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2019.1639085 Posted with permission.

Copyright Owner

Taylor & Francis

Language

en

File Format

application/pdf

Published Version

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