Degree Type

Creative Component

Semester of Graduation

Spring 2020

Department

Electrical and Computer Engineering

First Major Professor

Dr. Ian Dobson

Degree(s)

Master of Science (MS)

Major(s)

Electrical Engineering

Abstract

The Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) is responsible for the operation and planning of the electric transmission grid for 15 states in the middle section of the United States. Every year, MISO produces forward looking scenarios called Futures to help economically evaluate transmission additions. These Futures attempt to capture uncertainty in the energy industry with high confidence over a 20 year planning cycle. In order to test the robustness of these Futures, Integrated Resource Plans (IRPs) were collected and examined from the stakeholder utilities in MISO’s footprint. An IRP is an electric utility’s long-term plan for their resource needs to meet future electric demand. The generation additions in these plans were summed and compared against the Futures, which showed that the Futures were under projecting renewable generation. In order to measure the historical accuracy of IRPs, previously filed IRPs of stakeholder utilities were collected and examined to compare their projections of their 2019 capacity and energy mixes vs their actual 2019 capacity and energy mixes. The older IRPs were found to have on average under projected renewable generation and over projected coal generation.

Copyright Owner

Eilers, Joseph

File Format

PDF

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