Campus Units

Economics

Document Type

Article

Publication Version

Published Version

Publication Date

Spring 2009

Journal or Book Title

The Journal of Human Resources

Volume

44

Issue

2

First Page or Article ID Number

409

Last Page

449

DOI

10.3368/jhr.44.2.409

Abstract

We extend the nonparametric literature on partially identified probability distributions and use our analytical results to provide sharp bounds on the impact of universal health insurance on provider visits and medical expenditures. Our approach accounts for uncertainty about the reliability of self-reported insurance status as well as uncertainty created by unknown counterfactuals. We construct health insurance validation data using detailed information from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. Imposing relatively weak nonparametric assumptions, we estimate that under universal coverage monthly per capita provider visits and expenditures would rise by less than 8 percent and 16 percent, respectively, across the nonelderly population.

Comments

This article is published as Kreider, Brent, and Steven C. Hill. "Partially identifying treatment effects with an application to covering the uninsured." Journal of Human Resources 44, no. 2 (2009): 409-449. doi: 10.3368/jhr.44.2.409.

Rights

Works produced by employees of the U.S. Government as part of their official duties are not copyrighted within the U.S. The content of this document is not copyrighted.

Language

en

File Format

application/pdf

Working Paper

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