Multi-regime states of arctic atmospheric circulation

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2011-01-01
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Fisel, Brandon
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William J. Gutowski
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Geological and Atmospheric Sciences

The Department of Geological and Atmospheric Sciences offers majors in three areas: Geology (traditional, environmental, or hydrogeology, for work as a surveyor or in mineral exploration), Meteorology (studies in global atmosphere, weather technology, and modeling for work as a meteorologist), and Earth Sciences (interdisciplinary mixture of geology, meteorology, and other natural sciences, with option of teacher-licensure).

History
The Department of Geology and Mining was founded in 1898. In 1902 its name changed to the Department of Geology. In 1965 its name changed to the Department of Earth Science. In 1977 its name changed to the Department of Earth Sciences. In 1989 its name changed to the Department of Geological and Atmospheric Sciences.

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1898-present

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  • Department of Geology and Mining (1898-1902)
  • Department of Geology (1902-1965)
  • Department of Earth Science (1965-1977)
  • Department of Earth Sciences (1977-1989)

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Geological and Atmospheric Sciences
Abstract

Ensemble simulations of arctic circulation can develop multiple dynamical regimes. We use ensemble simulations of June -- December 2007 by the WRF-ARW model to examine regime development, and to understand the differences in the atmospheric circulation caused by changes in sea ice and how it is represented. Multiple regimes are common in our ensemble simulations, although there are differences through the period. There is a slight tendency for two or three regimes to be preferred more in June-July-August than October-November-December. September has the fewest multiple-regime periods. September is also the month of sea-ice minimum, suggesting that open ocean may inhibit the occurrence of multiple regimes in ensemble simulations compared to periods when substantial sea ice is present. Differences in sea-ice treatment have little influence on model results. The regime behavior occurring here suggests that as future summer ice cover wanes in the Arctic, the predictability of the atmosphere may increase.

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Sat Jan 01 00:00:00 UTC 2011