Date of Award
Master of Science
Apparel, Events and Hospitality Management
Macau has grown to become one of the famous gambling centers around the world. However, China’s anti-corruption policy challenged Macau and led Macau to a significant gaming revenue decline. This study applied seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) with intervention analysis to examine Macau’s quarterly gross gaming revenue, VIP baccarat revenue, and slot coin-in revenue from the first quarter of 2005 and last quarter of 2016 and determined the Macau gaming industry was affected by the anti-corruption policy. SARIMA models on three-time series were fitted by SAS time series forecasting system. The results showed that gross gaming revenue, VIP baccarat revenue, and slot coin-in revenue were significantly affected by the anti-corruption policy of mainland China. The findings of this study could be an initial empirical study for analyzing and forecasting Macau gaming industry performance when a policy event happened.
Zhou, Fanli, "How anti-corruption policy of mainland China affects Macau gaming industry" (2017). Graduate Theses and Dissertations. 15478.